The Daily Telegraph has released a Google Map of the marginal seats inwards the United Kingdom of Great Britain together with Northern Ireland of Britain together with Northern Republic of Ireland election. The Telegraph's map divides the province into rubber constituencies (seats that are probable to vote for the incumbent political political party inwards the seat) together with marginal constituencies (seats that mightiness alter hands).
Unfortunately The Telegraph has non explained the methodology they used (they tell the map is based on Research yesteryear the Electoral Reform Society) to decide which are rubber seats together with which are marginals. The accompanying article mentions seats which convey a long history of voting for a item political political party but I would live on surprised if that is the criteria they used for determining marginal seats.
The map must live on based either on sentiment polls or on the votes cast inwards the 2010 full general election (or on simply about combination of the two). My approximate is that it is based on sentiment polls, which is why Labour seats inwards Scotland together with Liberal Democrat seats inwards the South West are beingness shown every bit marginal on the map (many of these seats wouldn't live on marginal based on the 2010 election). In either illustration the Electoral Reform Party has to convey made an arbitrary sentence telephone band every bit to what betoken a spot swings from beingness a rubber spot to beingness a marginal (there convey been simply about large outliers inwards recent polls together with hence it would live on useful to know which polls convey been used every bit well).
However the map is notwithstanding useful every bit a full general conduct to which United Kingdom of Great Britain together with Northern Ireland of Britain together with Northern Republic of Ireland seats are most probable to decide the number of the United Kingdom of Great Britain together with Northern Ireland of Britain together with Northern Republic of Ireland full general election inwards iii weeks time. The large number of seats inwards Scotland (many of which hold back probable moving from Labour to SNP) together with inwards the South West (some of which hold back similar moving from Lib Dem to Conservative) are probable to convey a large affect on the United Kingdom of Great Britain together with Northern Ireland of Britain together with Northern Republic of Ireland election together with what hold back similar beingness interesting discussions later the election virtually which political parties volition degree a coalition.
Via: Visual Loop - Digital Cartography (93)
The map must live on based either on sentiment polls or on the votes cast inwards the 2010 full general election (or on simply about combination of the two). My approximate is that it is based on sentiment polls, which is why Labour seats inwards Scotland together with Liberal Democrat seats inwards the South West are beingness shown every bit marginal on the map (many of these seats wouldn't live on marginal based on the 2010 election). In either illustration the Electoral Reform Party has to convey made an arbitrary sentence telephone band every bit to what betoken a spot swings from beingness a rubber spot to beingness a marginal (there convey been simply about large outliers inwards recent polls together with hence it would live on useful to know which polls convey been used every bit well).
However the map is notwithstanding useful every bit a full general conduct to which United Kingdom of Great Britain together with Northern Ireland of Britain together with Northern Republic of Ireland seats are most probable to decide the number of the United Kingdom of Great Britain together with Northern Ireland of Britain together with Northern Republic of Ireland full general election inwards iii weeks time. The large number of seats inwards Scotland (many of which hold back probable moving from Labour to SNP) together with inwards the South West (some of which hold back similar moving from Lib Dem to Conservative) are probable to convey a large affect on the United Kingdom of Great Britain together with Northern Ireland of Britain together with Northern Republic of Ireland election together with what hold back similar beingness interesting discussions later the election virtually which political parties volition degree a coalition.
Via: Visual Loop - Digital Cartography (93)
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